Abby:

After thinking rationally about it (as well as observing it for the better part of 18 years), I have drawn roughly one conclusion about basketball:

March madness is a scam. 

Really, people? Are we putting that much faith in “our” teams? 

I am convinced, and wait to be proven otherwise, that I could create a march madness bracket with no basis, structure, research or even general school of thought. And by chance alone, I can be as successful as anyone else. 

The entire system seems to be built upon the illusion that knowledge equates to success. Breaking down team and player statistics, watching film and becoming a temporary expert in college basketball. But every year, without fail, carefully researched brackets collapse by the second weekend. How tragic. 

An underdog beats a powerhouse. A No.12 seed upsets a No.4 seed and one team’s “lock” loses on a buzzer-beater three with a ball that should not have even crossed half court. And yet there’s someone out there, choosing teams for fun, leaving all you chumps in the dust. Picking all of the No.1 seeds to face-off in the final four isn’t “strategy,” so let’s stop pretending skill is involved in predicting a month-long tournament.

That being said, let me introduce you to MY 2026 march madness bracket- and why I believe it’s better than yours.  

The first round of eliminations was super easy. If I did not know the school, it was not getting picked. That puts most big 10 and SEC schools to the second round; with the exception of a few random schools I have merch from (shoutout Arkansas and Gonzaga). 

Round of 32 (the second round of elimination) was practically the same, most schools I was gravitating towards were higher seeds so it fell into what people would generally pick. So far, light work. We are about a minute and a half into this whole excursion. 

The Sweet 16 finally made me pretend to think a little bit. In the east, not only did one of my best friends’ moms go to St Johns, but I also wanted them and UConn to have a revenge game, so that knocked out No.1 Duke and No.6 Louisville in the East.

Down South, No.5 Vanderbilt is taking Florida because I like Tennessee a whole lot better than Florida, and though I love the Aggies I had No.6 UNC taking out No.10 A&M because I have maroon sweatpants at home and it legitimately causes me emotional stress trying to figure out what on God’s green earth I can wear it with.

The West was easy – I went with my closet! No.4 Arkansas and No.3 Gonzaga advance over Mizzou and Villanova because they are my go-to hoodies. 

The Midwest made me think even less than I thought was possible for this whole ordeal. No.1 Mich dusts No.5 Texas Tech because 

1.) What even is Texas Tech, and 

2) One of my good friends goes there! Hi Matt!

 Finally, No.6 UT beats No.2 Iowa state simply because I’m still not convinced Iowa State even exists. 

Now, to the “Elite 8.” Things are getting serious (not really).

Uconn dusts St Johns in the revenge game for the east, and UNC takes Vanderbilt in the South because of their superior colors. Gonzaga takes Arkansas in the West (mainly because the Arkansas hoodie has a ripped pocket and a weird hole in the sleeve), and UT takes Michigan in an upset in the Midwest because at this point it’s less of a bracket and more about whatever I want. 

Now we reach the big dogs. The final 4. Uconn takes UNC in the East/South game, because as much as I hate it here, I’m loyal to Connecticut to some degree. Plus my brother goes there. So roll ‘Skies, I guess.

In the West/Midwest matchup, UT is going to take Gonzaga in ANOTHER upset. Why? Because this is my world, and everyone else is just living in it. Do they have the best colors? No, but my best friend in the whole world goes to school there! I am a vol vicariously through her.

That brings us to the end, my friends. I hope you have enjoyed the ride. In the national championship, on April 6th, No.6 Tennessee beat No.2 UConn for the title. “Abby,” you say, “how could you betray your home state?” 

See, that’s the thing.  While I may not be going to UT in the fall, I will be moving there after graduating. Connecticut may be my home, but Tennessee is my future. The Osbourne Brothers said it best- “Rocky Top, you’ll always be home sweet home to me”

So, there you have it: the perfect bracket. I’ll be expecting my $1 billion dollars shortly. The odds might be one in 9.2 quintillion, but I’ll be a lot closer than any of you wasting your time with “prior knowledge.” 

Abby’s bracket following the “Elite 8”

Maddie: 

They call it March Madness, but honestly? It is not as random as it looks. Yes, buzzer-beaters happen. Yes, underdogs sometimes steal the spotlight. And yes, there will always be that one game that makes you question humanity. But that does not mean brackets are just guesswork.  

My bracket did not come together by tossing a coin, picking teams purely for their “vibes” or siding with the school my cousin goes to. It came from hours of research and analyzing stats — basically, the part of March Madness that most people ignore while complaining that “it’s all luck anyway.”

Take some of my predicted upsets. TCU over Ohio State is not a whim. Ohio State has weak bench depth, and when the game gets tight late, fatigue becomes real. TCU, on the other hand, is built for the grind, which made this one a believable upset. Number 5 ranked Vanderbilt over first seed Florida? Vanderbilt has already proven they can compete with Florida this season, narrowly losing 98‑94 in their first matchup but then dominating 91‑74 in the SEC Tournament semifinals. That head-to-head history makes a Vanderbilt upset plausible, not just a random guess. And Michigan advancing deep? Low turnovers and consistent execution make them one of the few teams I felt I could trust to survive the Midwest chaos.

The thing about March Madness is that it can be unpredictable, but it is not impossible to analyze. It rewards preparation. Research can not guarantee a perfect bracket — the odds of that are basically zero — but it can give you a real edge. Random guessing might get you a few wins early, but it will not carry you past the Sweet 16, the Elite 8, or the Final Four.  

Of course, my bracket is still full of predictions, not guarantees. Upsets will happen, and a buzzer-beater could change everything. But because I spent time thinking through each pick, watching matchups and analyzing stats, watching the tournament is more engaging — every game matters in a way it would not for someone who spent one minute filling out a bracket. Each team I chose has a reason behind it, turning the bracket into a story of strategy, logic and careful planning. 

And my pick to win it all? Arizona. Veteran leadership, balanced offense, depth and an ability to handle pressure make them feel like the team most likely to survive the chaos and cut through the bracket. Will it happen exactly this way? Probably not. But as I studied matchups and considered team tendencies, they were the pick that consistently made sense.

March Madness will always be messy, exciting, and unpredictable. But it isn’t completely random. Careful research, a few calculated upsets, and understanding how teams handle pressure give a bracket more plausibility than blind guessing ever could. That is my bracket: a mix of research, insight and stubborn optimism. And whether Arizona actually takes the title or the bracket blows up in my face, well… time will tell.

Maddie’s bracket following the “Elite 8”

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